20 Oct · 16:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1793
FormWLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kuzmicz
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1646
FormWLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)