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20 Oct · 16:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1521
3-2Final setsKoczyba won
WPWojciech Pytlas
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pytlas at 51%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Pytlas favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Pytlas.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 53% → final 50%
Wojciech Pytlas ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKoczyba recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games