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20 Oct · 16:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKamil Smolka
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1501
1-3Final setsKowalski won
KKKamil Kowalski
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1248
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 77%. The actual result was Kamil Kowalski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 72.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kamil Smolka −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Kamil Kowalski.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 76% → final 89%
Kamil Kowalski ▼
Biggest swing 32 pts72 points · 5 games