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20 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1521
3-2Final setsKoczyba won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1602
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 60%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 36% → final 100%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 94 ptsKoczyba recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games