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20 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1410
0-3Final setsKoczyba won
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1521
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 61%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 72.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Koczyba.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 35% → final 1%
Mariusz Koczyba ▼
Biggest swing 34 pts51 points · 3 games