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20 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1459
1-3Final setsMachelski won
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1354
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Brunner at 62%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Brunner favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 73.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Brunner −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Brunner −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Brunner is favoured to win, below means Michal Machelski.

▲ Marian Brunnerpre 66% → final 6%
Michal Machelski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMachelski recovered from 33%71 points · 4 games