20 Oct · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1602
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkocz
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1510
FormWLWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H32-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-3)