21 Oct · 00:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1420
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1454
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Jurowicz stays under total as underdog 66% (50)
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.