21 Oct · 00:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1585
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lebek
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1478
FormLWLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)