21 Oct · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1350
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skorski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1282
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H56-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-49)