21 Oct · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1454
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1604
FormWLWLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)