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20 Oct · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1303
1-3Final setsPiecowski won
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1282
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 54%. The actual result was Miroslaw Piecowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 79.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Miroslaw Piecowski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 58% → final 78%
Miroslaw Piecowski ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsRolak recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games