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21 Oct · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1442
3-2Final setsBrunner won
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1657
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zielinski at 73%. The actual result was Marian Brunner 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Zielinski favoured — closing 1.22
Upset
Total 69.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Zielinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Zielinski −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Brunner is favoured to win, below means Marcin Zielinski.

▲ Marian Brunnerpre 28% → final 86%
Marcin Zielinski ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsBrunner recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games