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21 Oct · 00:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1327
1-3Final setsPiecowski won
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1279
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 56%. The actual result was Miroslaw Piecowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Miroslaw Piecowski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 60% → final 3%
Miroslaw Piecowski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsPiecowski recovered from 38%69 points · 4 games