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21 Oct · 01:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1588
3-0Final setsLebek won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1435
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 65%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 71.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 63% → final 100%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts54 points · 3 games