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21 Oct · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1585
0-3Final setsTkocz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1595
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 50%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 46% → final 4%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts51 points · 3 games