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21 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1525
3-2Final setsKurek won
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 51%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Adamus.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 47% → final 97%
Mariusz Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKurek recovered from 33%62 points · 3 games