21 Oct · 06:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1660
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Poliniewicz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1658
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Poliniewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.