21 Oct · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1636
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Hetnar
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1469
FormLWWLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)