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21 Oct · 06:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1554
3-1Final setsPruszkowski won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1583
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 56%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 40% → final 99%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsPruszkowski recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games