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21 Oct · 07:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1578
1-3Final setsAdamus won
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1476
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 63%. The actual result was Pawel Adamus 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Pawel Adamus.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 67% → final 97%
Pawel Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts60 points · 3 games