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21 Oct · 08:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1674
3-1Final setsPoliniewicz won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1657
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 50%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 46% → final 100%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 30%62 points · 4 games