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21 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1669
1-3Final setsCzerwinski won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1632
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 56%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 53% → final 1%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 20%68 points · 4 games