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21 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1517
3-0Final setsKurek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1566
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 58%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 73.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
16.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 38% → final 100%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsKurek recovered from 25%51 points · 3 games