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21 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1562
2-3Final setsMadej won
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 66%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 75.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Boguslaw Madej.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 64% → final 0%
Boguslaw Madej ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsMadej recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games