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21 Oct · 10:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1636
3-0Final setsRutkowski won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1673
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 56%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 40% → final 94%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsRutkowski recovered from 33%62 points · 3 games