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21 Oct · 10:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1562
1-3Final setsRus won
MRMaksymilian Rus
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1301
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 78%. The actual result was Maksymilian Rus 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.2
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Rus.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 77% → final 9%
Maksymilian Rus ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsRus recovered from 10%71 points · 4 games