Boguslaw Madej vs Rafal Gajda — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

21 Oct · 10:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej

ELO 1447

3-1Final setsMadej won

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1481

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 55%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-1 — the underdog won.

Boguslaw Madej — profile →Rafal Gajda — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.3

Upset

Total 75.5

82 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Gajda −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

9.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 48% → final 75%

Rafal Gajda ▼

Biggest swing 69 ptsMadej recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games