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21 Oct · 11:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1558
3-2Final setsPruszkowski won
RDRafal Dlugaj
🇵🇱Rafal Dlugaj
ELO 1540
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dlugaj at 50%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Dlugaj favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Dlugaj −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Dlugaj −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Dlugaj.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 46% → final 100%
Rafal Dlugaj ▼
Biggest swing 92 ptsPruszkowski recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games