21 Oct · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1439
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1470
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🌟Linek goes over total as underdog 67% (57)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H48-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.