21 Oct · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1301
FormWLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1481
FormLLWWL
31%
69%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H34-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-13)