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21 Oct · 11:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1551
1-3Final setsDlugaj won
RDRafal Dlugaj
🇵🇱Rafal Dlugaj
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 52%. The actual result was Rafal Dlugaj 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Skotniczny −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Rafal Dlugaj.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 56% → final 1%
Rafal Dlugaj ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsDlugaj recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games