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21 Oct · 12:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1440
1-3Final setsPruszkowski won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1556
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 62%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 40% → final 97%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsMadej recovered from 22%72 points · 5 games