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21 Oct · 12:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMaksymilian Rus
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1308
3-1Final setsRus won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1551
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 76%. The actual result was Maksymilian Rus 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.18
Upset
Total 71.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
12
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Rus is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Maksymilian Ruspre 25% → final 91%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsRus recovered from 11%71 points · 4 games