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21 Oct · 13:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1662
2-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1670
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 51%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 47% → final 100%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 30%62 points · 4 games