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21 Oct · 13:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1556
1-3Final setsGajda won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1482
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 59%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 63% → final 98%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts53 points · 3 games