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← TT Elite Series predictions
21 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1440
1-3Final setsDlugaj won
RDRafal Dlugaj
🇵🇱Rafal Dlugaj
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dlugaj at 61%. The actual result was Rafal Dlugaj 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Dlugaj favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 73.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Dlugaj −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Dlugaj −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Rafal Dlugaj.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 35% → final 9%
Rafal Dlugaj ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts72 points · 5 games