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21 Oct · 13:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1551
3-1Final setsSkotniczny won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1482
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 56%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 76.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 53% → final 0%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts50 points · 3 games