21 Oct · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1615
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1662
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Poliniewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H57-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-26)