21 Oct · 16:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1445
FormWLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Linek
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1318
FormLLLLW
64%
36%
🌟Linek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (39)
Fair odds · Linek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H17-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-14)