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21 Oct · 14:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1648
1-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1670
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 52%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 44% → final 5%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsKolek recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games