21 Oct · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1551
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Skotniczny
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1440
FormLLWWW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)