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21 Oct · 14:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1554
3-2Final setsPruszkowski won
RDRafal Dlugaj
🇵🇱Rafal Dlugaj
ELO 1557
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 50%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Dlugaj favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Dlugaj −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Dlugaj −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Dlugaj.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 46% → final 100%
Rafal Dlugaj ▼
Biggest swing 92 ptsPruszkowski recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games