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21 Oct · 16:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1362
3-2Final setsZwolinski won
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1256
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 60%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Kuba Golaszewski.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 64% → final 99%
Kuba Golaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsZwolinski recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games