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21 Oct · 16:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1431
0-3Final setsGajda won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1484
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 54%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 75.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Gajda −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 49% → final 75%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsMadej recovered from 20%72 points · 4 games