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21 Oct · 16:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1563
3-0Final setsSkotniczny won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1554
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 51%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 75.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 53% → final 1%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsPruszkowski recovered from 23%72 points · 4 games