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DeuceLab
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21 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PPPawel Polok
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1522
1-3Final setsAdamus won
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Polok at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Polok favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Polok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Polok −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Polok is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Adamus.

▲ Pawel Polokpre 49% → final 1%
Mariusz Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsAdamus recovered from 17%67 points · 4 games