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21 Oct · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1256
3-1Final setsGolaszewski won
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1331
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 60%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 75.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 36% → final 97%
Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsGolaszewski recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games