21 Oct · 21:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1349
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1525
FormWWLWL
31%
69%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 80% (30)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)