21 Oct · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Skupinski
ELO 1365
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1482
FormLLLWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H27-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-12)